Montpellier v Lyon: the model read
Montpellier meet Lyon in the Ligue 1 regular season - 22 at Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98, Montpellier.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 63%. Attacking output favors Lyon on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.6 per match.
Montpellier arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Reims, W 1-0 v PAU, L 1-3 @ Saint Etienne, D 0-0 v Boulogne.
Lyon are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Rennes, W 2-1 @ Anderlecht, D 0-0 @ Paris FC, W 3-1 v Auxerre.
Lyon hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 3 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Montpellier 1-4 Lyon.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
