Dock Sud v Deportivo Merlo: the model read
Dock Sud meet Deportivo Merlo in the Primera B Metropolitana clausura - 9 at Estadio de los Inmigrantes, Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires. The model makes Dock Sud the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% DOC, 32% draw, 31% DEP.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 53%. Attacking output favors Deportivo Merlo on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 32%. Draw no bet leans Dock Sud at 54%; double chance reads Dock Sud or draw 69%, Deportivo Merlo or draw 63%.
Dock Sud arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Real Pilar, D 0-0 v UAI Urquiza, L 1-2 @ Villa Dalmine, W 3-1 v Excursionistas.
Deportivo Merlo are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Liniers, W 3-2 v Real Pilar, D 0-0 @ UAI Urquiza, L 1-2 v Villa Dalmine.
Deportivo Merlo hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Dock Sud 1-1 Deportivo Merlo.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
