Lobos Buap v Leon: the model read
Lobos Buap meet Leon in the Liga MX clausura - 10 at Estadio Universitario BUAP, Puebla. The model makes Leon the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 32% LOB, 28% draw, 39% LEO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1492, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 45%. Attacking output favors Leon on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 74%, over 2.5 goals around 76%. Draw no bet leans Leon at 55%; double chance reads Lobos Buap or draw 61%, Leon or draw 68%.
Lobos Buap arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Toluca, L 1-4 v Cruz Azul, W 2-1 @ Club Tijuana, L 0-3 v Tigres UANL.
Leon are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 14 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Club Tijuana, L 2-3 v Atlas, W 4-2 v Tapatío, W 7-4 v Mineros de Zacatecas.
Leon hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Lobos Buap 0-1 Leon.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
