Chacarita Juniors v Alvarado: the model read
Chacarita Juniors meet Alvarado in the Primera Nacional regular season - 36 at Estadio de Chacarita Juniors, General San Martín, Provincia de Buenos Aires. The model makes Alvarado the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 26% CHA, 37% draw, 38% ALV.
The baseline ratings are close, 1456 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Alvarado, 57% against 42%. Attacking output favors Alvarado on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 17%, over 2.5 goals around 12%. Draw no bet leans Alvarado at 60%; double chance reads Chacarita Juniors or draw 62%, Alvarado or draw 74%.
Chacarita Juniors arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Gimnasia Jujuy, W 1-0 @ San Martin S.J., D 0-0 v Tristan Suarez, L 0-2 @ Nueva Chicago.
Alvarado are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Santamarina, W 5-0 v Germinal de Rawson, L 0-1 @ Villa Mitre, W 1-0 v Circulo Deportivo.
Alvarado hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Chacarita Juniors 2-1 Alvarado.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
