Morocco U23 v Mali U23: the model read
Morocco U23 meet Mali U23 in the CAF U23 Cup of Nations semi-finals at Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah, Rabat. The model makes Morocco U23 the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% MOR, 31% draw, 30% MAL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1542, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Morocco U23, 70% against 57%. Attacking output favors Morocco U23 on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Morocco U23 at 57%; double chance reads Morocco U23 or draw 70%, Mali U23 or draw 61%.
Morocco U23 arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Comoros, D 2-2 v Côte d'Ivoire U20, D 0-0 v Côte d'Ivoire U20, W 6-0 @ Egypt U23.
Mali U23 are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Indonesia U23, W 3-0 @ Indonesia U23, L 0-1 @ Paraguay U23, L 0-1 @ Japan U23.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
