Bhutan v Lebanon: the model read
Bhutan meet Lebanon in the SAFF Championship group stage - 2 at Sree Kanteerava Stadium, Bangalore. The model makes Lebanon the most likely outcome at 66%, with the full read 12% BHU, 22% draw, 66% LEB.
Lebanon rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1621 to 1400. Recent form leans Lebanon, 66% against 23%. Attacking output favors Lebanon on expected goals, 1.7 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 19%, over 2.5 goals around 76%. Draw no bet leans Lebanon at 85%; double chance reads Bhutan or draw 34%, Lebanon or draw 88%.
Bhutan arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 22 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Sri Lanka, L 0-4 @ Cambodia, W 2-1 v Brunei, L 1-7 @ Yemen.
Lebanon are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Yemen, L 1-2 @ Sudan, W 3-0 @ Brunei, W 4-0 @ Bhutan.
Lebanon hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Bhutan 0-4 Lebanon.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 60 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
