San Diego Loyal v New Mexico United: the model read
San Diego Loyal meet New Mexico United in the USL Championship regular season - 30 at Torero Stadium, San Diego, California.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans New Mexico United, 73% against 60%. Attacking output favors San Diego Loyal on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 70%. Draw no bet leans New Mexico United at 55%; double chance reads San Diego Loyal or draw 61%, New Mexico United or draw 68%.
San Diego Loyal arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 13 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 3-4 v Phoenix Rising, W 2-0 @ Las Vegas Lights, W 4-2 v Oakland Roots, D 0-0 @ El Paso Locomotive.
New Mexico United are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 9 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Lexington, D 0-0 @ Loudoun United, W 1-0 v FC Tulsa, W 5-2 @ Monterey Bay.
Their last 5 meetings are tight — 5 drawn. Most recently they met in 2023: San Diego Loyal 2-2 New Mexico United.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
