Ivory Coast v Ecuador

Ivory Coast meet Ecuador in the FIFA World Cup 2026 group e at Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia. The model makes Ecuador the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 32% CIV, 31% draw, 36% ECU.

The baseline ratings are close, 1830 to 1860, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 64% against 66%. Attacking output favors Ivory Coast on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Ivory Coast 0-1 Ecuador, from expected goals of 1.1 to 1.3.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Ecuador at 53%; double chance reads Ivory Coast or draw 64%, Ecuador or draw 68%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.