Haiti v Scotland

Haiti meet Scotland in the FIFA World Cup 2026 group c at Gillette Stadium, Boston. The model makes Scotland the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 28% HAI, 31% draw, 41% SCO.

Scotland rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1800 to 1660. Recent form leans Scotland, 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors Scotland on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.9 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Haiti 0-1 Scotland, from expected goals of 0.8 to 1.6.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 44%. Draw no bet leans Scotland at 60%; double chance reads Haiti or draw 59%, Scotland or draw 72%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.