Germany v Ivory Coast

Germany meet Ivory Coast in the FIFA World Cup 2026 group e at BMO Field, Toronto. The model makes Germany the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% GER, 30% draw, 30% CIV.

Germany rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1990 to 1830. Recent form separates little, 70% against 64%. Attacking output favors Germany on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Germany 2-1 Ivory Coast, from expected goals of 1.9 to 1.1.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans Germany at 58%; double chance reads Germany or draw 70%, Ivory Coast or draw 59%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.