Canada v Bosnia and Herzegovina

Canada meet Bosnia and Herzegovina in the FIFA World Cup 2026 group b at BMO Field, Toronto. The model makes Canada the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% CAN, 31% draw, 31% BIH.

The baseline ratings are close, 1840 to 1790, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 64% against 58%. Attacking output favors Canada on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.2 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Canada 1-0 Bosnia and Herzegovina, from expected goals of 1.5 to 1.1.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Canada at 55%; double chance reads Canada or draw 69%, Bosnia and Herzegovina or draw 62%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.