Sedan v Martigues: the model read
Sedan meet Martigues in the National 1 regular season - 22 at Stade Louis-Dugauguez, Sedan. The model makes Martigues the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 33% SED, 32% draw, 35% MAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1468 to 1458, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 42%. Attacking output favors Sedan on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 37%. Draw no bet leans Martigues at 51%; double chance reads Sedan or draw 65%, Martigues or draw 67%.
Sedan arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Villefranche, L 1-2 @ Stade Briochin, W 3-2 v Chateauroux, W 2-1 @ Cholet.
Martigues are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Ajaccio, L 1-5 @ Lorient, D 1-1 v Paris FC, L 1-2 @ Guingamp.
Martigues hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Sedan 0-1 Martigues.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
