ASEC Ndiambour v CNEPS Excellence: the model read
ASEC Ndiambour meet CNEPS Excellence in the Ligue 1 regular season - 16 at Stade Alboury Ndiaye, Louga. The model makes ASEC Ndiambour the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% ASE, 35% draw, 28% CNE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans ASEC Ndiambour, 45% against 23%. Attacking output favors CNEPS Excellence on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 25%, over 2.5 goals around 17%. Draw no bet leans ASEC Ndiambour at 56%; double chance reads ASEC Ndiambour or draw 72%, CNEPS Excellence or draw 63%.
ASEC Ndiambour arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Douanes, D 0-0 v Pikine, L 1-3 @ Casa Sport, W 2-0 v La Linguère.
CNEPS Excellence are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Pikine, L 1-2 v La Linguère, L 1-2 @ DSC, D 3-3 v Diambars.
ASEC Ndiambour hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: ASEC Ndiambour 1-1 CNEPS Excellence.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output