Pinhalnovense v União Montemor: the model read
Pinhalnovense meet União Montemor in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group F group f - 12 at Campo Santos Jorge, Pinhal Novo. The model makes Pinhalnovense the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 46% PIN, 30% draw, 24% UNI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1496 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Pinhalnovense, 50% against 24%. Attacking output favors Pinhalnovense on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Pinhalnovense at 65%; double chance reads Pinhalnovense or draw 76%, União Montemor or draw 54%.
Pinhalnovense arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 0 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Lagos, L 0-3 @ Moncarapachense, L 0-3 @ Imortal Albufeira, D 0-0 v Olhanense.
União Montemor are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Louletano, W 2-1 @ FC Barreirense, L 1-2 v Lagos, W 1-0 @ Imortal Albufeira.
Pinhalnovense hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: União Montemor 1-3 Pinhalnovense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
