Mbour Petite Côte v Douanes: the model read
Mbour Petite Côte meet Douanes in the Ligue 1 regular season - 16 at Stade Lamine Guèye, Kaolack. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 27% MBO, 40% draw, 33% DOU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Douanes, 43% against 20%. Attacking output favors Mbour Petite Côte on expected goals, 0.5 to 0.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 11%, over 2.5 goals around 5%. Draw no bet leans Douanes at 55%; double chance reads Mbour Petite Côte or draw 67%, Douanes or draw 73%.
Mbour Petite Côte arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Génération Foot, L 0-2 v Jaraaf, L 1-2 v CNEPS Excellence, L 0-1 @ DSC.
Douanes are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Casa Sport, W 1-0 v Pikine, L 0-2 @ La Linguère, W 1-0 v Gorée.
Mbour Petite Côte hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: Douanes 1-0 Mbour Petite Côte.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output