Toluca v Club Tijuana: the model read
Toluca meet Club Tijuana in the Copa MX semi-finals at Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo.
The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 57%. Attacking output favors Toluca on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Toluca arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Santos Laguna, W 1-0 @ Puebla, W 5-2 v Atlas, W 2-0 v Monterrey.
Club Tijuana are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ CF Pachuca, L 0-1 v Club Queretaro, W 2-0 v U.N.A.M. - Pumas, L 2-5 @ Guadalajara Chivas.
Toluca hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Toluca 1-0 Club Tijuana.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
