Uganda U20 v Burundi U20

Uganda U20 meet Burundi U20 in the CECAFA U20 Championship 3rd place at Uhuru Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam.

The baseline ratings are close, 1625 to 1522, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Uganda U20, 66% against 50%. Attacking output favors Uganda U20 on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.3 per match.

Uganda U20 arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Burundi U20, L 2-3 v Sudan U20, W 1-0 @ Sudan U20, W 4-1 v Djibouti U20.

Burundi U20 are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Uganda U20, L 0-2 @ Tanzania U20, W 2-0 v Kenya U20, W 4-0 @ South Sudan U20.

Uganda U20 hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Uganda U20 2-0 Burundi U20.

The market prices UGA at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Burundi U20: a 7.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.