Where the market is wrong on Olimpo Bahia Blanca v Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Olimpo Bahia Blanca meet Gimnasia Chivilcoy in the Torneo Federal A quarter-finals at Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti, Buenos Aires.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 57%. Attacking output favors Gimnasia Chivilcoy on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Olimpo Bahia Blanca arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Gimnasia Chivilcoy, D 1-1 @ Alvarado, D 1-1 v Cipolletti, L 0-1 @ Atenas.
Gimnasia Chivilcoy are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Olimpo Bahia Blanca, D 0-0 @ Douglas Haig, W 2-0 v Sol de América, W 1-0 @ Bartolomé Mitre.
Olimpo Bahia Blanca hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Olimpo Bahia Blanca 2-1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy.
The market prices OLI at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on Gimnasia Chivilcoy: a 17.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
