Where the market is wrong on Dagenham & Redbridge v Waltham Abbey
Dagenham & Redbridge meet Waltham Abbey in the FA Cup 2nd round qualifying.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Waltham Abbey, 68% against 57%. Attacking output favors Waltham Abbey on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.5 per match.
Dagenham & Redbridge arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Waltham Abbey, D 1-1 @ Waltham Abbey, L 0-1 @ Weston-super-Mare, L 0-1 v Dover.
Waltham Abbey are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Dagenham & Redbridge, D 1-1 v Dagenham & Redbridge, W 2-0 @ Fakenham Town, W 7-0 @ Brantham Athletic.
Dagenham & Redbridge hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Dagenham & Redbridge 3-0 Waltham Abbey.
The market prices DAG at 62% implied. Our number sits apart on Waltham Abbey: a 22.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
