Where the market is wrong on Juventus U20 v Gremio Prudente U20
Juventus U20 meet Gremio Prudente U20 in the Paulista - U20 round of 32.
Juventus U20 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1489. Recent form leans Juventus U20, 65% against 48%. Attacking output favors Juventus U20 on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.6 per match.
Juventus U20 arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 14 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Gremio Prudente U20, D 0-0 @ Gremio Prudente U20, W 3-1 v Jabaquara U20, W 5-0 @ Itapirense U20.
Gremio Prudente U20 are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 9 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Juventus U20, D 0-0 v Juventus U20, L 1-5 v Guarani U20, W 7-1 @ Porto Football U20.
The market prices JUV at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on Gremio Prudente U20: a 3.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output