Guatemala v El Salvador: the model read
Guatemala meet El Salvador in the CONCACAF Nations League league a - 2.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 37% against 40%. Attacking output favors Guatemala on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.9 per match.
Guatemala arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 17 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Jamaica, L 0-3 @ Ecuador, L 1-3 @ Czechia, L 0-7 @ Algeria.
El Salvador are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Martinique, D 2-2 @ Club Tijuana, L 0-3 @ Los Angeles FC, W 3-0 @ Los Angeles Galaxy.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: El Salvador 0-1 Guatemala.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
