Guadeloupe v Barbados: the model read
Guadeloupe meet Barbados in the CONCACAF Nations League league b - 2 at Darren Sammy National Cricket Stadium, Gros Islet.
Guadeloupe rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1431. Recent form leans Guadeloupe, 63% against 38%. Attacking output favors Guadeloupe on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.9 per match.
Guadeloupe arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Bermuda, L 2-3 v Guatemala, L 1-2 @ Jamaica, L 2-5 @ Panama.
Barbados are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v St. Lucia, L 2-3 v St. Vincent / Grenadines, L 1-3 @ Saint Martin, L 0-3 v Aruba.
Guadeloupe hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: Guadeloupe 2-1 Barbados.
The market prices GUA at 50% implied. Our number sits apart on Guadeloupe: a 1.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
