Where the market is wrong on Al Ahli Doha v Al Shahaniya
Al Ahli Doha meet Al Shahaniya in the QSL Cup group stage - 1 at Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha.
The baseline ratings are close, 1468 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 45%. Attacking output favors Al Ahli Doha on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Al Ahli Doha arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Al Shahaniya, L 0-3 @ Al-Rayyan SC, W 1-0 v Qatar SC, D 3-3 v Lusail City.
Al Shahaniya are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Al Ahli Doha, D 1-1 @ Al-Duhail SC, L 2-4 @ Al Shamal, W 3-2 v Al-Sailiya.
Al Ahli Doha hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al Ahli Doha 0-1 Al Shahaniya.
The market prices AL at 50% implied. Our number sits apart on Al Shahaniya: a 11.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
