Where the market is wrong on United v Mohun Bagan
United meet Mohun Bagan in the Calcutta Premier Division regular season.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1624, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 67%. Attacking output favors Mohun Bagan on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.6 per match.
United arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 15 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Mohun Bagan, D 0-0 v East Bengal, W 8-0 v Wari, W 5-1 v NA Suruchi Sangha.
Mohun Bagan are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 16 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ United, W 5-1 @ Coal India, D 1-1 @ East Bengal, W 3-1 @ Railway.
Mohun Bagan hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: United 1-1 Mohun Bagan.
The market prices UNI at 13% implied. Our number sits apart on United: a 19.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
