Merthyr Town v Truro City: the model read
Merthyr Town meet Truro City in the FA Cup quarter-finals.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 55%. Attacking output favors Merthyr Town on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Merthyr Town arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Chester, W 2-1 v Macclesfield, L 1-2 @ Buxton, D 1-1 v Chorley.
Truro City are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Leicester City U21, W 3-1 v Chesham United, L 0-1 @ Dorking Wanderers, W 3-0 v Dagenham & Redbridge.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Merthyr Town 2-1 Truro City.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
