Leamington v Gainsborough Trinity: the model read
Leamington meet Gainsborough Trinity in the FA Cup 2nd round qualifying.
The baseline ratings are close, 1432 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 39% against 45%. Attacking output favors Gainsborough Trinity on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Leamington arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Gainsborough Trinity, D 1-1 v Gainsborough Trinity, L 1-3 @ Bishop's Stortford, W 3-1 v Ilkeston Town.
Gainsborough Trinity are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Leamington, D 1-1 @ Leamington, L 0-2 v Avro, W 4-2 @ Sherwood Colliery.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gainsborough Trinity 3-0 Leamington.
The market prices LEA at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on Gainsborough Trinity: a 2.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
