VfL Wolfsburg W v Sturm Graz W

VfL Wolfsburg W meet Sturm Graz W in the UEFA Europa Cup - Women 1st qualifying round - finals at AOK Stadion, Wolfsburg.

The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 65%. Attacking output favors VfL Wolfsburg W on expected goals, 2.3 to 2.1 per match.

VfL Wolfsburg W arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 18 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 6-0 @ SC Sand W, W 6-1 v Sturm Graz W, L 1-2 @ 1899 Hoffenheim W, W 2-0 @ Stuttgart W.

Sturm Graz W are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 12 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Austria Wien W, L 1-6 @ VfL Wolfsburg W, W 2-0 v SK Rapid W, W 4-0 @ Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W.

VfL Wolfsburg W hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: VfL Wolfsburg W 6-1 Sturm Graz W.

The market prices VFL at 91% implied. Our number sits apart on Sturm Graz W: a 35.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.