Where the market is wrong on Boston River v Fenix
Boston River meet Fenix in the Copa Uruguay group stage - 3.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 45%. Attacking output favors Fenix on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Boston River arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Penarol, W 3-2 v Fenix, L 1-2 v Progreso, L 2-3 @ Racing Montevideo.
Fenix are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Oriental, L 2-3 @ Boston River, D 1-1 v Colón, W 1-0 @ CA River Plate.
Boston River hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Boston River 3-2 Fenix.
The market prices BOS at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on Fenix: a 11.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
