Where the market is wrong on Kallithea v Asteras Tripolis II
Kallithea meet Asteras Tripolis II in the Super League 2 regular season - 4 at Grigoris Lambrakis Stadium, Athens.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Kallithea, 57% against 48%. Attacking output favors Kallithea on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.9 per match.
Kallithea arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Panserraikos, L 1-2 @ Marko, W 2-1 v Niki Volos, L 1-3 v Larisa.
Asteras Tripolis II are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Apollon Pontou, L 0-1 @ Panserraikos, L 0-2 @ Panionios, L 0-3 @ Niki Volos.
The market prices KAL at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on Asteras Tripolis II: a 14.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
