Iraq U20 v Thailand U20

Iraq U20 meet Thailand U20 in the AFC U20 Asian Cup group stage - 3 at Chonburi Daikin Stadium, Chonburi.

The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1522, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 50%. Attacking output favors Thailand U20 on expected goals, 2.7 to 1.6 per match.

Iraq U20 arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Thailand U20, W 2-1 @ UAE U20, L 1-2 v Turkmenistan U20, W 1-0 @ Kuwait U20.

Thailand U20 are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Iraq U20, W 1-0 @ Turkmenistan U20, W 1-0 v UAE U20, D 2-2 @ Syria U20.

Iraq U20 hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Iraq U20 3-1 Thailand U20.

The market prices IRA at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Thailand U20: a 5.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 64 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.