Where the market is wrong on Vrbovec v HNK Rijeka
Vrbovec meet HNK Rijeka in the Cup round of 32.
HNK Rijeka rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1674 to 1400. Recent form leans HNK Rijeka, 74% against 18%. Attacking output favors HNK Rijeka on expected goals, 1.7 to 0.9 per match.
Vrbovec arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-6 v HNK Rijeka, W 4-1 v Daruvar, L 0-2 v Ponikve, W 3-2 @ Samobor.
HNK Rijeka are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 6-0 @ Vrbovec, D 1-1 @ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, W 4-1 v NK Osijek, D 0-0 @ HNK Gorica.
HNK Rijeka hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Vrbovec 0-6 HNK Rijeka.
The market prices VRB at 3% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 13.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
