Where the market is wrong on Nykobing FC v Middelfart
Nykobing FC meet Middelfart in the DBU Pokalen round of 32 at Lollands Bank Park, Nykobing Falster.
Nykobing FC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1783 to 1546. Recent form leans Nykobing FC, 89% against 55%. Attacking output favors Nykobing FC on expected goals, 3.0 to 1.9 per match.
Nykobing FC arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 16 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v FA 2000, D 5-5 v Middelfart, W 3-0 @ Thisted FC, D 2-2 v Roskilde.
Middelfart are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Skive, D 5-5 @ Nykobing FC, D 1-1 v Fremad Amager, W 2-1 @ HIK.
Middelfart hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nykobing FC 5-5 Middelfart.
The market prices NYK at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Nykobing FC: a 4.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 66 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
