Where the market is wrong on Probiy Horodenka v Oleksandria
Probiy Horodenka meet Oleksandria in the Cup round of 32.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1553, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Oleksandria, 58% against 48%. Attacking output favors Oleksandria on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Probiy Horodenka arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Oleksandria, L 0-6 @ Ahrobiznes Volochysk, L 0-3 v Viktoriya Mykolaivka, W 3-1 @ Lokomotiv Kyiv.
Oleksandria are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Probiy Horodenka, D 0-0 @ Prykarpattia, W 1-0 v Chernihiv, W 2-0 @ Bratslav Vinnytsia.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Probiy Horodenka 1-1 Oleksandria.
The market prices PRO at 16% implied. Our number sits apart on Probiy Horodenka: a 11.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
