Broadmeadow Magic v Weston Bears

Broadmeadow Magic meet Weston Bears in the Northern NSW NPL quarter-finals at Wanderers Oval, Newcastle.

The baseline ratings are close, 1684 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Broadmeadow Magic, 75% against 60%. Attacking output favors Broadmeadow Magic on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 75%, over 2.5 goals around 83%. Draw no bet leans Broadmeadow Magic at 62%; double chance reads Broadmeadow Magic or draw 72%, Weston Bears or draw 55%.

Broadmeadow Magic arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Weston Bears, W 8-0 v Charlestown City Blues, L 0-1 v Kahibah, W 1-0 @ Cooks Hill United.

Weston Bears are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Broadmeadow Magic, D 0-0 @ Maitland, D 0-0 @ Valentine, W 4-2 v Adamstown Rosebuds.

The market prices BRO at 50% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.