Where the market is wrong on GBK v Jaro 2
GBK meet Jaro 2 in the Kakkonen - Lohko C group c at Kokkolan keskuskentta, Kokkola.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1504, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans GBK, 57% against 47%. Attacking output favors GBK on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 90%, over 2.5 goals around 96%. Draw no bet leans GBK at 60%; double chance reads GBK or draw 70%, Jaro 2 or draw 55%.
GBK arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Jaro 2, W 4-1 v VPS II, D 1-1 @ Vaajakoski, L 0-3 v Huima / Urho.
Jaro 2 are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 6 scored and 19 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ GBK, L 1-3 @ JS Hercules, L 2-6 v Huima / Urho, L 1-3 v JBK.
Jaro 2 hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: GBK 2-2 Jaro 2.
The market prices GBK at 73% implied. Our number sits apart on Jaro 2: a 17.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
