Deportivo La Guaira v Estudiantes de Merida FC

Deportivo La Guaira meet Estudiantes de Merida FC in the Primera División clausura - 6 at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 48%. Attacking output favors Deportivo La Guaira on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.0 per match.

Deportivo La Guaira arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 14 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Estudiantes de Merida FC, W 4-1 @ Rayo Zuliano, W 6-1 v Zamora FC, W 2-1 @ Caracas FC.

Estudiantes de Merida FC are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Deportivo La Guaira, D 1-1 v Puerto Cabello, W 1-0 v Anzoátegui FC, L 0-3 @ Rayo Zuliano.

Deportivo La Guaira hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportivo La Guaira 1-2 Estudiantes de Merida FC.

The market prices DEP at 62% implied. Our number sits apart on Estudiantes de Merida FC: a 16.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.