Police v Mbarara City: the model read
Police meet Mbarara City in the Premier League regular season - 1 at Kiira Road Police Arena, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Police, 48% against 33%. Attacking output favors Police on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.8 per match.
Police arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Blacks Power, W 1-0 v Mbarara City, D 2-2 @ Kitara, D 1-1 v Entebbe UPPC.
Mbarara City are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Police, L 1-4 @ KCCA, W 2-0 v Buhimba Saints, L 1-3 v SC Villa.
Police hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Police 1-0 Mbarara City.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output