Şahdağ v Karvan

Şahdağ meet Karvan in the Birinci Dasta regular season - 2.

Şahdağ rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1400. Recent form leans Şahdağ, 70% against 25%. Attacking output favors Şahdağ on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.7 per match.

Şahdağ arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Karvan, W 1-0 @ MOIK, D 1-1 v Baku Sportinq, D 0-0 @ Səbail.

Karvan are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Şahdağ, W 3-0 @ Baku Sportinq, D 1-1 @ Imisli FK, L 1-2 v Qabala.

Şahdağ hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Şahdağ 2-0 Karvan.

The market prices ŞAH at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on Şahdağ: a 26.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 86 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.