Vietnam v Thailand

Vietnam meet Thailand in the ASEAN Championship final at My Dinh National Stadium, Hanoi.

Vietnam rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1799 to 1673. Recent form leans Vietnam, 90% against 73%. Attacking output favors Vietnam on expected goals, 2.7 to 2.1 per match.

Vietnam arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 11 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Thailand, W 2-0 @ Thailand, W 2-0 v Malaysia, W 2-0 @ Malaysia.

Thailand are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Vietnam, L 0-2 v Vietnam, L 1-2 v Singapore, W 3-1 @ Singapore.

The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Vietnam 2-2 Thailand.

The market prices VIE at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on Thailand: a 6.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.