Penarol v Club Nacional: the model read
Penarol meet Club Nacional in the Primera División clausura - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1553 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 58% against 50%. Attacking output favors Penarol on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans Penarol at 59%; double chance reads Penarol or draw 72%, Club Nacional or draw 59%.
Penarol arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 13 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Deportivo Maldonado, W 2-1 v Central Espanol, W 5-1 v Wanderers, W 3-0 v Cerro Largo.
Club Nacional are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Progreso, L 0-2 @ Racing Montevideo, L 1-2 v Boston River, W 2-1 v Progreso.
Club Nacional hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Club Nacional 0-1 Penarol.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
