1º Dezembro v Real: the model read
1º Dezembro meet Real in the Taça de Portugal 1/128-finals.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 33%. Attacking output favors 1º Dezembro on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.5 per match.
1º Dezembro arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Real, L 0-5 @ Imortal Albufeira, W 2-1 v Caldas, W 1-0 @ Atlético CP.
Real are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ 1º Dezembro, D 0-0 @ Lajeadense, L 0-3 v Novo Hamburgo, L 1-3 v Passo Fundo.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: 1º Dezembro 0-1 Real.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output