Brann v PAOK: the model read
Brann meet PAOK in the UEFA Europa Conference League playoff round at Brann Stadion, Bergen.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 53%. Attacking output favors Brann on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.9 per match.
Brann arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 11 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Sandefjord, W 3-2 v PAOK, W 4-0 @ Fyllingen, D 1-1 @ PAOK.
PAOK are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Atromitos, L 2-3 @ Brann, W 4-0 v Levadiakos, D 1-1 v Brann.
Brann hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Brann 3-2 PAOK.
The market prices BRA at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 1.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
