Where the market is wrong on Cesar Vallejo v Deportivo Llacuabamba
Cesar Vallejo meet Deportivo Llacuabamba in the Segunda División regular season - 15 at Estadio Mansiche, Trujillo.
Deportivo Llacuabamba rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1565 to 1431. Recent form leans Deportivo Llacuabamba, 58% against 40%. Attacking output favors Deportivo Llacuabamba on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 32%, over 2.5 goals around 28%. Draw no bet leans Deportivo Llacuabamba at 60%; double chance reads Cesar Vallejo or draw 60%, Deportivo Llacuabamba or draw 73%.
Cesar Vallejo arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ U. San Martin, W 2-0 v Deportivo Llacuabamba, W 1-0 @ Carlos A. Mannucci, D 1-1 v Molinos El Pirata.
Deportivo Llacuabamba are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Cesar Vallejo, D 0-0 @ Deportiva Agropecuaria, W 3-0 v U. San Martin, L 0-1 @ Carlos A. Mannucci.
The market prices CES at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on Deportivo Llacuabamba: a 16.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
