Where the market is wrong on Pusamania Borneo v Bali United
Pusamania Borneo meet Bali United in the Liga 1 regular season - 3 at Stadion Batakan, Balikpapan.
Pusamania Borneo rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1523. Recent form leans Pusamania Borneo, 78% against 50%. Attacking output favors Pusamania Borneo on expected goals, 2.3 to 2.0 per match.
Pusamania Borneo arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Bali United, L 1-3 v Dewa United, W 1-0 @ Persijap, L 0-1 v Persija.
Bali United are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Pusamania Borneo, W 4-1 v Isenmulang Kalteng, W 2-1 v PSS Sleman, L 2-3 @ Persib Bandung.
The market prices PUS at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on Pusamania Borneo: a 6.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 71 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output