Where the market is wrong on Gualberto Villarroel SJ v Bolívar
Gualberto Villarroel SJ meet Bolívar in the Copa de la División Profesional group stage - 1.
Bolívar rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1420. Recent form leans Bolívar, 63% against 40%. Attacking output favors Bolívar on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.4 per match.
Gualberto Villarroel SJ arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 11 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Real Oruro, D 3-3 v Oriente Petrolero, D 2-2 @ ABB, L 0-1 @ Independiente Petrolero.
Bolívar are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 17 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 v The Strongest, W 4-1 v ABB, W 4-2 @ Real Oruro, L 1-3 @ Sao Paulo.
Bolívar hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1-2 Bolívar.
The market prices GUA at 20% implied. Our number sits apart on Gualberto Villarroel SJ: a 7.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
