UNA v Dongen: the model read
UNA meet Dongen in the Derde Divisie regular season - 7.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 53%. Attacking output favors Dongen on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 73%, over 2.5 goals around 74%. Draw no bet leans Dongen at 52%; double chance reads UNA or draw 63%, Dongen or draw 65%.
UNA arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Zwaluwen, D 1-1 v TOGB, L 1-3 @ FC Eindhoven, L 1-2 v Meerssen.
Dongen are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ EVV, W 4-0 v Zwaluwen, W 2-1 @ Heerjansdam, D 1-1 v Heerjansdam.
UNA hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: UNA 1-1 Dongen.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
