Excelsior Maassluis v Noordwijk: the model read
Excelsior Maassluis meet Noordwijk in the Derde Divisie regular season - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Noordwijk, 55% against 43%. Attacking output favors Noordwijk on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 70%, over 2.5 goals around 76%. Draw no bet leans Noordwijk at 60%; double chance reads Excelsior Maassluis or draw 56%, Noordwijk or draw 71%.
Excelsior Maassluis arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Groene Ster, D 1-1 @ UDI '19, W 4-2 v Sparta Rotterdam II, W 3-0 v TOGB.
Noordwijk are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Achilles Veen, W 2-0 v Blauw Geel, L 2-3 v De Treffers, L 1-2 v TOGB.
Excelsior Maassluis hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 5 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Noordwijk 2-2 Excelsior Maassluis.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
