Constància v Alcúdia

Constància meet Alcúdia in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 group 11 - 4.

Constància rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1466. Recent form leans Constància, 70% against 43%. Attacking output favors Constància on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.3 per match.

Constància arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Alcúdia, L 0-1 @ Cardassar, D 1-1 @ Santanyí, W 3-0 v Arenal.

Alcúdia are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Constància, L 1-2 v Santanyí, W 2-1 @ Arenal, W 5-0 v Inter Ibiza.

Constància hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Constància 2-0 Alcúdia.

The market prices CON at 61% implied. Our number sits apart on Alcúdia: a 3.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.