Celtic v Lask Linz

Celtic meet Lask Linz in the UEFA Champions League play-offs at Celtic Park, Glasgow.

The baseline ratings are close, 1734 to 1696, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 82% against 75%. Attacking output favors Lask Linz on expected goals, 2.8 to 2.5 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 80%, over 2.5 goals around 84%. Draw no bet leans Lask Linz at 54%; double chance reads Celtic or draw 61%, Lask Linz or draw 67%.

Celtic arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 15 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Lask Linz, W 4-0 @ Dundee Utd, W 5-1 @ Kilmarnock, W 1-0 v Dundee.

Lask Linz are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 16 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Celtic, W 4-1 v Ried, W 2-0 @ Austria Vienna, W 3-0 v Grazer AK.

Celtic hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Celtic 3-0 Lask Linz.

The market prices CEL at 55% implied. Our number sits apart on Lask Linz: a 18.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.