Where the market is wrong on Casarano v SS Monopoli
Casarano meet SS Monopoli in the Serie C - Girone C girone c - 7 at Stadio Giuseppe Capozza, Casarano.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Casarano, 57% against 48%. Attacking output favors Casarano on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.8 per match.
Casarano arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v SS Monopoli, D 1-1 @ Savoia, W 1-0 v Audace Cerignola, W 3-1 v Barletta.
SS Monopoli are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Casarano, D 2-2 v Crotone, D 0-0 @ Scafatese, W 1-0 v Foggia.
SS Monopoli hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Casarano 0-1 SS Monopoli.
The market prices CAS at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
